Hurricane Erin, the first major storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, has rapidly intensified into a Category 4 hurricane with sustained winds of 130 mph. While the storm is not expected to make landfall in the U.S., its effects are likely to be felt along the East Coast, including the New York City area.
Projected Path and Timing
As of early Monday, August 18, Erin is located approximately 105 miles north-northeast of Grand Turk Island and is moving northwest at 13 mph. The storm is forecast to turn northeast, staying offshore but bringing its influence to coastal regions from Florida to Maine. The New York City area, including Long Island and the Jersey Shore, may begin to experience the storm’s effects by Tuesday, August 19, and continue through Thursday, August 21.
Potential Impacts in the NYC Area
- High Surf and Rip Currents: Beaches along Long Island’s South Shore and the Jersey Shore are expected to see dangerous surf conditions, with waves potentially reaching 12 feet. This increases the risk of rip currents, which can be hazardous for swimmers.
- Coastal Flooding and Erosion: Strong winds and high surf may lead to coastal flooding and beach erosion, particularly in low-lying areas.
- Wind Gusts: Wind gusts between 20 and 40 mph are possible, which could lead to minor tree damage and isolated power outages.
- Rainfall: While the primary threat is from wind and surf, there is a slim chance that outer bands of the storm could bring brief rain showers to the region.
Areas Likely to Be Most Affected
Coastal areas, including the Jersey Shore and Long Island’s South Shore, are expected to experience the most significant impacts. Inland areas such as the Hudson Valley, Northern and Central New Jersey, and Connecticut are less likely to see severe weather, though they may experience increased cloud cover and breezy conditions.
Preparedness Recommendations
Residents in coastal areas should:
- Avoid Beach Activities: Stay out of the water and avoid beach activities during the storm’s impact.
- Secure Outdoor Items: Bring in or secure outdoor furniture and decorations that could become projectiles in gusty winds.
- Monitor Local Alerts: Stay informed by monitoring local weather reports and following any advisories or warnings issued by local authorities.
- Review Emergency Plans: Ensure that your emergency kit is stocked and that you have a plan in place in case of power outages or other disruptions.
While Hurricane Erin is not expected to make landfall in the New York City area, its effects could still pose risks to coastal communities. Residents should remain vigilant and prepared as the storm progresses along the East Coast.
